Event odds
Real-money prediction markets price the probability of events that move the tape: rate cuts, recession, inflation prints, crypto levels, elections. This board snapshots the finance and macro markets on Polymarket as context alongside the 13F board.
These are the market's odds, not ours. Context, not a stock pick and not a recommendation.
| Event | Implied odds | Volume | Resolves |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | 0.4% Yes | $100k | 2026-07-31 |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.7%+ in 2026? | 1.7% Yes | $997 | 2027-01-15 |
| Will South African inflation be between 2.6% and 2.9% in 2026? | 6% Yes | $997 | 2027-01-20 |
| Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0% and 0.1%? | 26.5% Yes | $991 | 2026-08-12 |
| Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 80 by July 31? | 1.6% Yes | $989 | 2026-08-01 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10PM ET | 50% Up | $10 | 2026-07-30 |